3 US Integrated Energy Stocks to Gain Despite Industry Headwinds

Industry Overview - The Zacks Oil & Gas US Integrated industry includes companies involved in upstream and midstream energy businesses, focusing on oil and natural gas exploration and production [3] - Upstream operations are positively correlated to oil and gas prices, while midstream assets generate stable fee-based revenues [3] Current Market Conditions - The crude pricing environment is expected to weaken this year, with the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projecting the average price of West Texas Intermediate crude at $64.16 per barrel, down from $76.60 per barrel last year [4] - Increasing worldwide oil inventory is anticipated to negatively impact commodity prices, which is unfavorable for exploration and production activities [4] Production and Investment Trends - Lower oil prices are likely to hinder production growth, as energy companies are prioritizing returning capital to shareholders over increasing production [5] - The shift towards renewable energy sources is expected to gradually reduce demand for fossil fuels, posing challenges for integrated players in both upstream and downstream operations [6] Industry Performance - The Zacks Oil & Gas US Integrated industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 173, placing it in the bottom 30% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a bearish outlook [7][8] - Over the past year, the industry has underperformed compared to the broader Zacks Oil - Energy sector and the S&P 500, declining by 5% while the sector gained 9% and the S&P 500 surged by 19.9% [9] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 4.64X, lower than the S&P 500's 18.47X and the sector's 5.15X [13] - Historical trading ranges for the industry have been between 3.05X and 13.64X over the past five years, with a median of 4.64X [13] Key Companies to Watch - ConocoPhillips (COP) is expected to perform well due to its operations in low breakeven cost resources, particularly in the Permian basin [17] - Occidental (OXY) has generated strong cash flows in the first half of the year despite a weaker pricing environment, attributed to efficient operations and cost control [20] - National Fuel Gas (NFG) is well-positioned to navigate the uncertain environment due to its integrated business model and presence in the natural gas-rich Appalachian basin [23]