7500余台售货机撑起超300亿市值？趣致集团的AI叙事暗藏玄机

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant valuation of Qizhi Group, an AI interactive marketing service provider, which reached a peak market value of HKD 36.4 billion despite its business model being primarily based on vending machines, raising concerns about the disparity between its claims and actual operations [1][5][10]. Financial Performance - Qizhi Group's revenue grew from CNY 502 million in 2021 to CNY 1.34 billion in 2024, with a remarkable growth rate of 93.14% in 2023 [2][3]. - The company reported net profits of CNY 1.37 million in 2023, but overall, it has been in a long-term loss situation, with net losses of CNY 1.39 billion in 2021 and CNY 1.66 billion in 2024 [2][3]. Market Position and Valuation - After its IPO in May 2024, Qizhi Group's stock price peaked at HKD 137 per share, leading to a market capitalization of HKD 36.4 billion, which is significantly higher than its competitor, Youbao Online, valued at HKD 2.6 billion [3][4]. - As of September 24, 2025, Qizhi Group's stock price had dropped to HKD 65.55, resulting in a market cap of approximately HKD 17.4 billion, indicating a significant decline from its peak [10][12]. Business Model and Operations - Qizhi Group operates 7,543 vending machines across 22 cities in China, offering around 1,400 SKUs of fast-moving consumer goods [3][4]. - The company claims to provide innovative marketing solutions through AI-enabled vending machines, but investigations revealed that the machines lack the advertised interactive features [5][6]. Customer and Supplier Relationships - There are concerns regarding Qizhi Group's customer relationships, as some major clients are also suppliers, raising potential conflicts of interest and risks of financial misconduct [7][8]. - A notable client, Guangzhou Chali Group, is listed as a discredited entity, which raises questions about Qizhi Group's financial stability and client reliability [8]. Stock Market Activity - Following its inclusion in the Hang Seng Index, Qizhi Group experienced a surge in stock price, attracting significant ETF investments, with estimates suggesting over HKD 1 billion in net buying [9][10]. - Despite the influx of passive funds, the stock price has seen a dramatic decline, leading to suspicions of market manipulation to inflate prices for profit-taking [10][11].