Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang·2025-09-25 01:12Core Viewpoint - The low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite industry in China is experiencing rapid growth driven by government policies, technological advancements, and market demand, with expectations for the market size to exceed 100 billion yuan by 2030, becoming a key infrastructure for digital economy and global communication [1][11]. Group 1: Industry Overview - Low Earth orbit satellites operate at altitudes between 160 kilometers and 2000 kilometers, characterized by short operational cycles and the ability to frequently revisit specific areas [2][5]. - The Chinese satellite internet industry is projected to grow from 265.59 billion yuan in 2020 to 376 billion yuan by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.4% [10][11]. Group 2: Policy Analysis - Since the 14th Five-Year Plan, the Chinese government has increased support for the commercial aerospace industry, designating it as a strategic emerging industry and a representative of "new quality productivity" [5][6]. - The 2024 government work report emphasizes the need to accelerate the development of commercial aerospace and its integration with low-altitude economy and biomanufacturing [6]. Group 3: Industry Chain - The LEO satellite industry chain in China consists of upstream technology development, midstream ecosystem integration, and downstream application expansion, with key players including state-owned enterprises and private companies [6][7]. - The industry is moving from "technology validation" to "scale commercialization," driven by policy support and the integration of 6G technology [7][10]. Group 4: Global and Domestic Development - The global LEO satellite market is highly competitive, with the U.S. leading through companies like SpaceX and OneWeb, while China is rapidly advancing its own projects such as "National Network Constellation" and "Thousand Sails Constellation" [8][9]. - As of August 2025, SpaceX's Starlink project has launched 8,926 satellites, with plans to expand to 42,000 by 2027, highlighting the intense competition for frequency and orbital resources [9]. Group 5: Future Trends - The Chinese LEO satellite industry is expected to accelerate, with significant policy support and ongoing projects aimed at large-scale deployment by 2030 [12][13]. - The market is anticipated to expand significantly, with the goal of achieving over 10 million satellite communication users by 2030, driven by the introduction of mobile direct satellite services [11][14]. - Technological innovations, such as inter-satellite laser communication and advanced antenna systems, will play a crucial role in enhancing communication capabilities and expanding market applications [13][15].