金价走势聚焦本周数据黄金TD拉锯

Group 1 - The core focus of the market is on the upcoming U.S. economic data, which will provide guidance for the Federal Reserve's policy direction and directly impact gold prices [2] - The weekly initial jobless claims data is expected to reflect the current employment market; strong data may lead to a hawkish stance from the Fed, putting downward pressure on gold prices, while weak data could support a rebound in gold [2] - The U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index is a key inflation measure for the Fed; if it exceeds expectations, it may reinforce a cautious approach from Powell, potentially leading to a reassessment of interest rate cut expectations and further downward pressure on gold [2] Group 2 - Recent economic indicators present a mixed picture; the German business climate index has unexpectedly declined, indicating some weakness in the European economy, while U.S. new home sales have surged, suggesting strong domestic demand [3] - Despite signs of economic slowdown, the economy has not entered a recession, necessitating investor vigilance in monitoring data changes to assess potential adjustments in Fed policy during the October meeting [3] Group 3 - Technical analysis for gold T+D indicates resistance at 850-860 CNY/gram and support at 820-840 CNY/gram; a break above 850 CNY/gram could lead to a rise towards 860 CNY/gram, while falling below 800 CNY/gram may result in further declines [4]