North Copper(SZ:000737) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-25 03:30Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant increase in the performance of the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) and the impact of Freeport-McMoRan's announcement regarding its Grasberg mine on copper prices and supply risks [1][2] - The non-ferrous metal ETF experienced a jump of nearly 3% in early trading on September 25, 2025, with a turnover of 5.14% and a transaction volume of 639 million yuan [1] - The index tracking the non-ferrous metal sector, the China Securities Index, rose by 2.21%, with notable increases in component stocks such as Luoyang Molybdenum (up 9.59%) and Tongling Nonferrous Metals (up 7.89%) [1] Group 2 - Freeport-McMoRan announced a force majeure at its Grasberg mine in Indonesia, predicting a decline in copper and gold sales for Q3, which has raised concerns about long-term copper supply shortages [1] - Citigroup noted that Grasberg accounts for approximately 3% of global copper supply, indicating that the total loss in Q4 could impact global supply by 3%, with a projected 35% loss affecting about 1% of global supply by 2026 [1] - Following this news, the three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange rose by 2% to $10,172 per ton [1] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut of 25 basis points to a range of 4.00%-4.25% is expected to support gold prices, with ongoing expectations for further rate cuts influencing the market [2] - The weak dollar is providing support for copper prices, and the recent Fed rate cut has driven an upward trend in copper prices [2] - The non-ferrous metal ETF closely tracks the China Securities Index, which includes 50 listed companies in the non-ferrous metal and non-metal materials sectors, reflecting the overall performance of the industry [2]