Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities projects Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 16.3 billion yuan, 18.5 billion yuan, and 21 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.84, 14.86, and 13.09 times, and recommends a "buy" rating based on the company's industry position, growth potential, and low-cost advantages [1] Production Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved significant increases in production for copper and cobalt, with outputs of 353,600 tons and 61,100 tons respectively, marking year-on-year growth of 12.68% and 13.05%, and setting historical highs for the period [1][2] - The company met or exceeded production targets for all products in the first half of the year, achieving over half of its annual goals within the first six months [1] Pricing Trends - The average LME copper price in the first half of 2025 increased by 3.75% year-on-year to $9,431 per ton, with cobalt, molybdenum, APT, niobium, and monoammonium phosphate prices showing respective changes of +7.69%, +23.90%, +1.37%, +12.39%, and -0.17% [3] Cost Management - The company has made significant progress in cost reduction and efficiency improvement through refined management and technological innovation, with the cost of copper production in the first half of 2025 approximately 33,700 yuan per ton [4] Strategic Developments - The company completed the acquisition of Odin Mining in Ecuador and is advancing development work to enhance its gold resource portfolio, aiming for production by 2029 [5] Market Dynamics - The cobalt market is experiencing upward pressure on prices due to ongoing export bans from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with prices rising from 160,000 yuan per ton to 275,000 yuan per ton over the past seven months, and potential adjustments to export policies may further impact supply dynamics [6]
中信建投:予洛阳钼业(03993)“买入”评级 2025H1铜产量创历史同期新高