美国政府停摆倒计时！特朗普威胁联邦机构大裁员

Core Points - The potential government shutdown on September 30 could mark the 15th shutdown since 1981, with significant implications for federal operations and employee status [1][4][6] Group 1: Government Shutdown Context - President Trump has refused to meet with Democratic leaders until they abandon demands for $1.5 trillion in spending, primarily for healthcare [3][4] - The House passed a temporary funding bill to extend federal funding until November 21, but it failed in the Senate [4] Group 2: Economic Implications - Concerns have been raised about the U.S. economy, inflation, and fiscal outlook, with predictions of a significant fiscal deficit by 2026 [4][5] - The Federal Reserve's current monetary policy is seen as potentially leading to increased risks of policy missteps, including sustained high inflation [5] Group 3: Federal Workforce Impact - The White House budget office has instructed federal agencies to identify projects that will lose discretionary funding and to draft plans for permanent job cuts in areas not aligned with Trump's priorities [6] - Historically, about 60% of federal employees are deemed essential during shutdowns, while the rest are placed on unpaid leave [6][7] - The potential for large-scale layoffs could have detrimental effects on U.S. economic growth, creating uncertainty for federal workers and local economies [6][7]