中秋节前鸡蛋价格再涨动力或不足

Core Viewpoint - The overall price of eggs has increased significantly in mid-September, with an average daily price rising from 3.10 yuan per jin at the beginning of the month to 3.75 yuan per jin by the 17th, marking a cumulative increase of 0.65 yuan per jin, or 20.97% [1][2]. Price Trends - The egg futures market also experienced a rebound, with prices rising nearly 300 yuan per 500 kilograms at the beginning of the month, peaking at 3197 yuan per 500 kilograms, and currently maintaining above 3000 yuan per 500 kilograms [1]. - As of September 24, the average price of eggs in major production areas was 3.62 yuan per jin, reflecting a 16.77% increase from the beginning of the month but a 3.47% decline from the monthly high [2]. Demand Factors - Improved demand is identified as the primary driver for the rise in egg prices this month, particularly due to the upcoming double festival, which is expected to boost domestic purchasing volumes [2]. - However, high inventory levels and sufficient egg supply are suppressing price levels compared to the same period last year [2]. Future Outlook - With the double festival approaching, food manufacturers have largely completed their procurement, and downstream traders are exhibiting increased risk aversion, likely reducing their purchasing volumes from production areas [2]. - Consequently, it is anticipated that the overall demand for eggs may decline in late September, indicating insufficient momentum for further price increases before the Mid-Autumn Festival [2].