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刘纪鹏:资本市场在等待年轻人,但“一定要控制好风险的比例”
Xin Lang Zheng Quan·2025-09-25 09:54

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is gradually showing a slow bull trend one year after the "924" policy was introduced, indicating that it remains a value investment opportunity [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The number of new stock accounts is increasing, with more "post-00s" and "post-10s" entering the market, suggesting a shift towards a younger investor base [1] - The A-share market is compared to the US market, where the US stock market recently reached a historical high of 46,000 points, while the A-share market's recent high was only about 3,899 points, highlighting a significant gap [2] - China's GDP growth rate is significantly higher than that of the US, which theoretically should allow for a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio in the A-share market [2] Group 2: Valuation Insights - The current P/E ratio of the Shanghai Composite Index is approximately 15 times, while the overall market P/E ratio is around 30 times, including high-valuation sectors like the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market [2] - The overall P/E ratio of the US stock market exceeds 30 times, particularly for high-performing stocks, indicating that A-shares could be undervalued [2] - Given China's economic growth potential, a P/E ratio below 40 times for A-shares is considered reasonable, with further upward potential [2] Group 3: Investment Considerations - The younger generation is encouraged to explore the capital market as a means to increase property income, but they must also be cautious of financial risks [2][3] - Historical experiences of successful investors often include significant risks, emphasizing the importance of risk management in capital market investments [2][3]