Group 1 - The macro community is beginning to consider a sustained bounce in the dollar, particularly as month-end rebalancing flows are expected to be positive for the dollar [1][2] - There is a possibility of a short-term dollar bounce, which could lead to a correction in gold prices and potentially impact stock markets, although it may not necessarily be a broadly negative catalyst [3][4] - The market is currently experiencing various asset movements, with concerns that some trends may not be sustainable, particularly in the crypto space [5][8] Group 2 - There are two types of catalysts affecting the market: external and internal. External catalysts include scheduled risks, which are not currently seen as a threat to market trends [6][7] - Internal dynamics may create self-fulfilling narratives in the market, as seen in the recent fluctuations in alternative cryptocurrencies [8] - A potential dollar bounce could influence other assets, but caution is advised in assuming a significant shift in market trends without an external catalyst [8]
Dollar May Be Culprit If Trends Derail: 3-Minutes MLIV
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