Seasonal hiring to hit lowest level in years as tariffs, inflation bite

Core Insights - Retailers are expected to sharply reduce seasonal hiring plans in the fourth quarter, with anticipated job additions dropping to the lowest level in 16 years [1][2] - The overall job market in the U.S. is softening, with only 22,000 jobs added in August, significantly below expectations [2] Group 1: Seasonal Hiring Trends - Employers are predicted to add less than half a million jobs in the fourth quarter, down from 543,000 last year [1] - Several major retailers, including Target, Macy's, and Burlington, have not yet announced their seasonal hiring plans, and those who have reported numbers are either equal to or slightly lower than last year [4] Group 2: Economic Factors Impacting Retail - Tariffs and inflationary pressures are affecting seasonal hiring, as companies are increasingly relying on automation and permanent staff rather than large seasonal hires [2] - The Consumer Price Index indicates that household goods are 10% more expensive than pre-tariff levels, which may be influencing consumer spending behavior [5] - A PwC report indicates that shoppers plan to spend 5% less on holiday gifts, travel, and entertainment this year, marking the first significant decline since 2020 [5] Group 3: Consumer Behavior - Despite economic challenges, consumer spending at stores remains steady, and if this trend continues into the holiday season, retailers may be compelled to increase hiring later in the year [3]