【环球财经】德国权威机构预测2025年德经济小幅增长0.2%

Core Insights - The joint economic forecast report from five major German economic research institutions predicts that Germany's economy will only grow by 0.2% in 2025 due to ongoing impacts from U.S. tariff policies and other factors [1] - The report indicates that while the German economy is gradually emerging from a downturn, the recovery in the manufacturing sector remains weak, with strong growth observed in the service sector [1] - Structural weaknesses, including high energy and labor costs, a shortage of skilled workers, and declining competitiveness, are constraining growth prospects [1] Economic Growth Projections - The report forecasts that Germany's economic growth will primarily rely on domestic expansionary fiscal policies over the next two years [1] - Expected growth rates for Germany's economy are projected at 1.3% in 2026 and 1.4% in 2027 [1] Risks and Challenges - The German economy is described as being in an "unstable" state, with significant downward risks primarily stemming from trade disputes between the U.S. and the EU [1] - An escalation in trade disputes could impose heavy burdens on both economies, further complicating Germany's recovery [1] Report Significance - The joint economic forecast report is published biannually and serves as an important reference for the German federal government in formulating economic policies [1]