Core Viewpoint - Oklo, a nuclear power startup, has experienced significant stock volatility and insider selling, raising concerns about its valuation and business strategy as it seeks to secure necessary regulatory approvals and customer agreements [2][3][5][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Insider Activity - Oklo shares have surged over 470% this year due to investor enthusiasm about nuclear power's potential in supporting AI data centers [4]. - Recent insider selling includes CEO Jacob DeWitte selling $3 million in stock, director Michael Klein selling $6.7 million, and CFO Craig Bealmear selling $9.4 million [2]. - Following these sales and a cautious outlook from Goldman Sachs, Oklo's stock has dropped 15% over two days [3]. Group 2: Analyst Coverage and Valuation Concerns - Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of Oklo with a neutral rating, indicating that the stock's valuation appears full and the business strategy requires de-risking [3]. - The bank projects a potential decline of about 11% in Oklo's share price over the next 12 months, estimating a target price of $117 per share [3]. - Goldman analysts highlighted the need for Oklo to secure finalized customer agreements to mitigate risks associated with its capital-intensive business model [6]. Group 3: Regulatory and Operational Status - Oklo has not yet obtained the necessary license from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to build its first 75-megawatt power plant, the Aurora Powerhouse, but plans to file for the license this year [5]. - The company is currently not generating revenue and has not finalized any power purchase agreements, with commercial operations expected to start in late 2027 or early 2028 [5]. - Oklo's business model of owning and operating power plants is viewed as a significant capital burden, posing risks to its success [6].
AI nuclear stock play Oklo loses 15% in 2 days amid big insider selling, Wall Street caution