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存储行业的好日子回来了?国产厂商想讲“新故事”
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang·2025-09-25 15:52

Core Viewpoint - The storage chip sector in the A-share market has shown strong performance despite increased volatility in the overall market, driven by price hikes from international giants and positive forecasts for NAND Flash prices [2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - From September 4 to September 25, the stock prices of Demingli (001309.SZ) and Jiangbolong (301308.SZ) surged from approximately 86 yuan to 177 yuan and 144 yuan respectively, reaching historical highs [2]. - The price increase expectations were ignited by SanDisk's announcement of a price hike of over 10% for some products, marking the second price increase this year [2]. - Morgan Stanley's report suggests that NAND Flash prices may continue to rise into Q4 2025 and persist into 2026, with CFM forecasting a comprehensive price increase in the storage market during that period [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance of Major Players - Micron's Q4 2025 revenue reached $11.32 billion, a 46% year-on-year increase, with net profit soaring 158% to $3.47 billion [3]. - For the entire fiscal year 2025, Micron's revenue hit a record $37.4 billion, up nearly 50% year-on-year, primarily driven by demand from data centers and AI servers [3]. - Micron's high-value business segments, including HBM and high-capacity DIMM, generated $10 billion in revenue, five times that of the previous fiscal year [3][4]. Group 3: Domestic Manufacturers' Challenges and Strategies - Domestic storage manufacturers like Baiwei Storage and Demingli reported negative net profits in the first half of 2025, reflecting the lingering effects of the previous downturn [6]. - The traditional business model of relying on purchasing storage wafers from international suppliers has limited profit margins for domestic firms [6]. - Domestic manufacturers are shifting focus towards upstream technology to capture higher value, particularly through the development of proprietary controller chips [6][7]. Group 4: Technological Advancements - Jiangbolong has shipped over 80 million units of its self-developed controller chips, with its UFS 4.1 products outperforming market standards [7]. - Baiwei Storage has successfully mass-produced its first domestic eMMC controller chip and is developing UFS controller chips, expected to be ready for production in 2025 [7]. - Demingli has also achieved mass production of its SATA SSD controller chip, which is the first in China to utilize RISC-V architecture [7]. Group 5: Investment and Market Expansion - Baiwei Storage raised 1.871 billion yuan for expanding its advanced packaging and manufacturing facilities, indicating a strategic shift towards higher-value manufacturing [9]. - Domestic firms are targeting enterprise markets, such as data centers and AI servers, where profit margins are higher and customers prioritize reliability over price [10]. - Jiangbolong's enterprise storage revenue reached 693 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a 138.66% increase, while Baiwei Storage has secured core supplier status with major AI server manufacturers [10].