乘联分会秘书长崔东树：预计“十五五”期间中国汽车年销量将达4000万台

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive industry is expected to achieve annual sales of 40 million units during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, building on a solid foundation established during the "14th Five-Year Plan" with a steady growth trend [1][2] Group 1: Industry Growth Trends - The average annual growth rate of the Chinese automotive industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan" was maintained at 3%, with exports showing a remarkable average growth of 9%, indicating strong international competitiveness [1][2] - The domestic market also experienced a slight average growth of nearly 2%, providing crucial support for the stable operation of the industry [1] Group 2: Growth Drivers for Future Sales - The penetration of automotive consumption is expected to deepen in the central and western regions and small county markets, driven by economic development and improved infrastructure, potentially surpassing the growth rates of major cities like Beijing and Shanghai [2] - The transition to electrification is anticipated to shorten the vehicle ownership cycle, with the effective lifespan of electric vehicles estimated at around 10 years compared to 18 years for traditional combustion engine vehicles, leading to increased demand for new energy vehicle replacements [2] - The share of Chinese automobiles in overseas markets is expected to gradually expand, supported by advancements in technology, product quality, and brand development, particularly in the new energy vehicle sector [2]