刘纪鹏：影响A股的因素虽多，但关键在于认知立场与方法论

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is gradually showing a slow bull trend one year after the "924" policy was introduced, with significant influences from both domestic and international factors, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The A-share market has accumulated approximately 800 points in gains recently, indicating its attractiveness to international capital despite some foreign exits, such as BlackRock [1]. - Concerns have arisen regarding the pace of the market's rebound, with around 130 companies announcing share reduction plans since early September [2]. Group 2: Structural Issues - A fundamental contradiction in the A-share market is the dominance of major shareholders, which has led to wealth distribution inequities, with large shareholders benefiting disproportionately compared to retail investors [2]. - The suggestion is made to implement a "preset circulation bottom price" mechanism to guide major shareholders' behavior rather than imposing restrictions on share reductions [1][2]. Group 3: Government Intervention - The primary driver of the recent market recovery is the entry of state-owned funds, reflecting the government's commitment to stabilizing the market [2]. - It is recommended that market adjustments should rely on stabilization fund operations rather than allowing major shareholders to reduce their holdings to artificially create a "slow bull" market [2]. Group 4: Reform and Governance - There is a noted hesitation in the execution of policies addressing major shareholder governance issues, which requires further reflection [2]. - The importance of recognizing the need for institutional reforms to correct historical inequities in the market is emphasized, with a call for relevant departments to firmly advance these reforms [2].