Counterpoint：2025上半年全球VR头显出货量同比下滑14% AR智能眼镜有望迎来强劲增长

Core Insights - The global VR headset shipments are expected to decline by 14% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 due to continued weak demand in the consumer market [1] - Meta maintains a dominant position in the VR market, holding approximately 80% market share in the first half of 2025 [1] - The AR smart glasses market is projected to experience significant growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 69% from 2024 to 2027, driven by increased investments from major tech companies [1] VR Headset Market - The overall competitive landscape in the VR market remains stable, with few new product launches from major OEMs [1] - Meta continues to lead the market significantly, indicating a strong brand presence and product acceptance [1] AR Smart Glasses Market - Global AR smart glasses shipments increased by 50% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, signaling a recovery in market sentiment [3] - Birdbath technology-based AR smart glasses dominate the market with a 78% share, while waveguide technology-based glasses account for about 17% [3] - The average selling price of waveguide AR glasses is approximately 27% higher than that of more mature Birdbath products [3] Key Products and Innovations - Xreal One is the best-selling model among Birdbath technology products in the first half of 2025, followed by RayNeo Air 3s and RayNeo Air 3 [7] - RayNeo Air 3s features a competitive price of approximately $269 and significant improvements in optical systems [7] - Even Realities G1, a waveguide technology product, has shown strong sales despite its higher price point of $599 due to its lightweight and stylish design [7] Competitive Landscape - Xreal and RayNeo together hold over 60% of the global AR smart glasses market share in the first half of 2025 [8] - RayNeo surpassed competitors in Q2 2025 with multiple new product launches, including the RayNeo Air 3s and RayNeo X3 Pro [8] - Upcoming products like Xreal One Pro and Rokid Glasses are expected to enhance competition in the AR market [9] Future Outlook - The AR smart glasses market is anticipated to become more competitive in the second half of 2025, with new product launches expected to reshape market dynamics [9] - Notable upcoming products include Meta Ray-Ban Display and Alibaba's Quark "AR+AI" glasses, which are expected to increase the market share of waveguide products [9]