中诚信国际研究院院长袁海霞：建议加快地方债支出使用

Core Viewpoint - The report emphasizes the importance of local government bonds as a macroeconomic adjustment tool, suggesting an acceleration in the use of local debt expenditures and the issuance of replacement quotas for the following year to stimulate domestic demand [1][2]. Group 1: Local Government Bond Characteristics and Trends - In 2025, local government bond issuance is expected to reach a record high, with a significant increase in the new debt limit and a notable advancement in the replacement schedule [2]. - The issuance of local government bonds is aimed at addressing fiscal deficits and promoting investment, particularly in real estate and government investment funds [2][3]. - The negative list management model has expanded the scope of special bonds, enhancing support for land reserves and the acquisition of idle land and existing housing for affordable housing [2]. Group 2: Structural Optimization and Expansion of Local Debt - Recommendations include optimizing the relationship between central and local governments to ensure sustainable fiscal and debt management [3]. - There is a call for a balanced approach between new debt and refinancing debt, ensuring that project construction and debt rollover needs are met [3]. - The establishment of a long-term regulatory system is necessary to balance quality and quantity throughout the debt cycle, with a focus on asset management and risk monitoring [3]. Group 3: Policy Development and Financial Tools - The report advocates for the accelerated use of special bonds and the early issuance of replacement quotas, with a focus on addressing public service shortfalls and boosting consumption [4]. - It suggests enhancing the coordination between special bonds, policy financial tools, and bank credit to effectively stimulate domestic demand and support economic development goals [4]. Group 4: Project Management and Funding Mechanisms - There is a proposal to optimize and broaden the scope of investment areas, including the establishment of a "positive encouragement list" for emerging sectors [5]. - The report emphasizes the need for a more rigorous project discovery and evaluation mechanism to increase the quality of project reserves [5]. - It also highlights the importance of improving funding management and establishing effective channels for information disclosure and risk monitoring [5].