澳洲联储下周料按兵不动 但或在第三季通胀数据公布后降息
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-09-26 04:38

Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to maintain the interest rate at 3.60% next week due to a tight labor market and the need to wait for clear signs of inflation easing [1] Economic Indicators - Analysts predict that the interest rate will drop to 3.35% by the end of this year, although some have postponed their expectations for a rate cut in November due to rising monthly inflation indicators [1] - Following multiple rate cuts, Australia's economic growth rebounded in the second quarter, and the unemployment rate remains relatively stable, indicating that the RBA can slow down its easing measures [1] Labor Market Analysis - Moody's economic analyst Sunny Kim Nguyen stated that the RBA has little urgency to act, even as the unemployment rate gradually rises. Compared to pre-pandemic norms, the labor market remains relatively tight, allowing the RBA to wait for third-quarter inflation data to avoid reigniting price pressures too early [1]