Group 1 - The forum "Phoenix Bay Area Financial Forum 2025" was held in Guangzhou, focusing on the theme "New Pattern, New Path" and gathering global elites from politics, business, and academia to explore development trends [1] - Economist Fu Peng highlighted that the world is undergoing a significant change, marking a critical point in the macroeconomic cycle, with a historical shift from post-World War II global order to a phase of conservatism [3] - Fu Peng noted that extreme conservatism could lead to war, emphasizing that the historical cycle of global order involves periods of integration and inclusion followed by conservatism and potential conflict [3] Group 2 - Fu Peng analyzed post-war population trends, indicating that earlier generations had larger families regardless of economic status, while modern youth are less inclined to have children despite financial stability [4] - He emphasized the importance of understanding population cycles as they relate to investment, consumption, real estate, and industry, suggesting that these cycles have a cascading effect on economic development [4]
付鹏：历史是一个“周期”，人口因素是重要的周期一部分
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing·2025-09-26 05:34