Core Viewpoint - The dairy sector is experiencing a collective rebound, driven by the implementation of a nationwide cash subsidy for child-rearing families, which is expected to benefit the dairy products segment significantly [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - Mengniu Dairy (02319) shares rose by 3.78%, reaching HKD 14.84 - China Feihe (06186) shares increased by 3.36%, reaching HKD 4 - China Shengmu (01432) shares grew by 1.69%, reaching HKD 0.3 [1][1][1] Group 2: Policy Impact - On July 28, the national child-rearing subsidy implementation plan was announced, providing direct cash subsidies to families across the country - Starting from January 1, 2025, a subsidy of CNY 3,600 per child will be issued annually until the child turns three years old - On September 18, the National Health Commission and the Ministry of Finance issued a notice regarding the management norms for the child-rearing subsidy system (trial) [1][1][1] Group 3: Industry Analysis - According to Caitong Securities, the dairy products sector is expected to benefit first from the child-rearing subsidies - Huafu Securities noted that the current raw milk prices are at the bottom of the cycle, with prices dropping to CNY 3.03 per kilogram as of September 12, remaining stable week-on-week, and down 31% from the cycle peak - The ongoing losses in raw milk and cash flow pressures are expected to drive continued capacity reduction, which may lead to a stabilization and recovery of raw milk prices in the future [1][1][1]