A股节前缩量回调，“老登”板块逆市活跃，地产ETF涨逾1%创年内新高！高人气“小登”回调，资金果断布局

Market Overview - A-shares experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.65%, Shenzhen Component Index down 1.76%, and ChiNext Index down 2.60, indicating a broad market decline with over 3,400 stocks falling [1] - The total trading volume across both markets was 2.15 trillion yuan, reflecting a decrease in market activity [1] Sector Performance - The real estate sector showed resilience, with the real estate ETF (159707) rising over 1%, reaching a new high for the year, and attracting significant investment with 23.5 million shares purchased [1][3] - The banking ETF (512800) also saw a slight increase, with nearly 1 billion yuan invested over the past ten days [1] - In contrast, high-profile sectors such as AI and fintech experienced pullbacks, with the AI-focused ETF (159363) declining over 3% despite a net subscription of 144 million yuan [1][2] Real Estate Insights - The implementation of new housing policies in Shanghai has led to a significant increase in new home transactions, with a 30% week-on-week rise in the first week and a 19% increase in total transactions for the month [5] - Analysts suggest that the easing of policies in major cities could lead to a short-term recovery in the housing market, with a focus on high-quality developers and those benefiting from debt relief and improved sales [5][6] Food and Beverage Sector - The food and beverage sector, represented by the food ETF (515710), showed mixed performance, with a slight decline of 0.16% [8] - Despite the overall downturn, there are indications of strong sales growth for premium products like Moutai, with sales volume reportedly doubling month-on-month and over 20% year-on-year [11][12] Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong market faced declines, particularly in the internet and innovative drug sectors, with the internet ETF (513770) down 2.6% and the innovative drug ETF (520880) down 1.44% [2][15] - The market's performance is influenced by external factors, including potential tariffs on pharmaceutical products announced by the U.S., which have affected investor sentiment [18][19] Future Outlook - Analysts maintain a positive medium-term outlook for the market, emphasizing the importance of liquidity and the potential for a rebound post-holiday [2][6] - The real estate sector is expected to benefit from seasonal demand during the "Golden September and Silver October" period, with recommendations to focus on leading developers and those with strong land acquisition strategies [5][6]