【环球财经】巴西央行下调今年经济增长预期

Core Viewpoint - The Brazilian Central Bank has revised its GDP growth forecast for 2025 down from 2.1% to 2%, with a further slowdown expected in 2026 to 1.5% due to various external factors [1] Economic Growth - The report indicates that despite strong performance in agriculture and mining in the second half of the year, uncertainties related to U.S. tariff policies and escalating global geopolitical tensions will negatively impact Brazil's economic growth in 2025 [1] - The expected economic growth for Brazil in 2026 is projected to slow down significantly due to multiple influencing factors [1] Inflation and Monetary Policy - Brazilian inflation remains above the target level, with the Central Bank forecasting a 2025 inflation rate of 4.8%, exceeding the target median of 3% and the allowable fluctuation range of 1.5 percentage points [1] - The Central Bank has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 15%, indicating that high rates will need to be sustained for a "considerable period" to combat inflation [1] - Market expectations suggest that the Central Bank may not lower interest rates until 2026 [1]