MRK vs. BMY: Which Pharma Stock Is the Smarter Pick Now?

Core Insights - Merck & Co. (MRK) and Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) are prominent pharmaceutical companies with diverse portfolios and global reach [1][2] - MRK has a strong oncology franchise, particularly with its blockbuster drug Keytruda, while BMY focuses on transformational drugs across various therapeutic areas [1][2] Merck (MRK) Overview - MRK has over six blockbuster drugs, with Keytruda being the primary revenue driver, contributing significantly to top-line growth [3][4] - Keytruda's sales increased approximately 7% in the first half of 2025, benefiting from its approval for various oncology indications and strong uptake in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer [4][10] - The company is expanding its pipeline, with over 1,600 trials for Keytruda and plans to launch around 20 new vaccines and drugs in the coming years [5][7] - MRK's Animal Health business is also a key growth contributor, showing above-market growth [5] - A new optimization initiative aims for $3 billion in annual cost savings by the end of 2027, although Keytruda's loss of exclusivity in 2028 poses a risk to future revenue [8][10] - Declining sales of Gardasil and lower demand in key markets like China and Japan are challenges for MRK [9][11] Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) Overview - BMY's Growth Portfolio includes drugs like Opdivo, Reblozyl, and Camzyos, which have stabilized revenue amid generic competition [12][16] - Opdivo's sales are driven by strong launches in specific cancer indications, with expectations for mid-to-high single-digit growth in 2025 [13][14] - A collaboration with BioNTech enhances BMY's pipeline, focusing on bispecific antibodies for solid tumors [15] - Despite newer drugs boosting sales, BMY faces significant headwinds from generic competition affecting legacy drugs [17] - BMY's restructuring program aims for $2 billion in annual cost savings by the end of 2027, but the company has a high debt-to-capital ratio of 73.8% [18] Financial Estimates and Performance - MRK's 2025 sales are expected to increase by 1.21%, with EPS improving by 16.73%, while BMY's sales are projected to decrease by 2.06%, but EPS is expected to rise significantly due to low prior-year figures [19][20] - Both companies have seen upward revisions in EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 [21] - Year-to-date, MRK and BMY have underperformed the large-cap pharma industry, with losses of 19.7% and 20.5%, respectively [24] - MRK trades at 8.24X forward earnings, while BMY trades at 7.02X, both below the industry average of 14.67X [26] Dividend and Investment Considerations - Both MRK and BMY offer attractive dividend yields, with BMY at 5.61% and MRK at 4% [27] - Current rankings for both companies are Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), making the choice between them complex [28] - MRK is viewed as a better pick due to its diverse portfolio and strong Keytruda sales, despite challenges [30]