China studies how to regulate copper smelting capacity, industry association says

Core Viewpoint - China, the largest copper smelter globally, is considering regulatory measures to control the expansion of smelting capacity due to record low processing fees impacting profits [1][3]. Industry Challenges - The processing fees paid by miners to smelters have been adversely affected by "involution-style" competition, leading to self-destructive market conditions [2]. - The rapid expansion of smelting capacity has outstripped mined supply, resulting in tighter availability of copper concentrate [2]. Proposed Measures - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association has suggested specific measures to strictly regulate the expansion of copper smelting capacity to mitigate the negative impacts of intense competition [3]. Market Response - Despite a decrease in copper output by 2.5% in July compared to June, copper prices remained relatively stable, indicating a lack of significant market response [4]. - Some Chinese smelters have agreed to process copper from Antofagasta without charge due to the low processing fees, which have reached an all-time low [4]. Supply Concerns - The risk of reduced supplies for Chinese smelters has increased following Freeport-McMoRan Inc's cut in output forecast for Indonesia, which has led to a rise in copper prices [5]. - Benchmark copper prices on the London Metal Exchange rose by 1.02% to $10,442 per metric ton, reflecting market reactions to supply concerns [5].