Core Viewpoint - PepsiCo, Inc. is viewed as a "defensive" investment amid a U.S. economic slowdown, although its defensive nature is less pronounced compared to previous recessions due to high pricing pressures in the Frito-Lay segment [1] Financial Performance - The company is expected to report third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 9, 2025, with an estimated EPS of $2.26 [3] - The analyst has adjusted the organic sales outlook for the IB franchise to flat growth from a previous estimate of 3% year-over-year, resulting in a total company organic sales forecast reduction to 1.8% from 2% [4] Sales and Market Trends - PepsiCo Foods North America is experiencing sluggish sales as it compares against last summer's promotions, with NielsenIQ scanner data showing little change from previous quarters [5] - Frito-Lay is facing challenging comparisons due to July 4 promotions in summer 2024, leading to a "hollowing" of middle-tier price points, while premium and value brands are performing better [6] Analyst Insights - BofA Securities analyst Peter T. Galbo maintains a Neutral rating on PepsiCo with a price target of $150, indicating a balanced approach to growth, dividends, and share repurchases [2] - There is limited risk of further sales or EPS revisions as the quarter has largely unfolded as expected, although core business fundamentals have yet to show signs of reacceleration [4]
PepsiCo May See Lower Q3 Gross Margins From Tariff Pressure, 'Stretched' Frito-Lay Pricing