美国政府“关门”风暴将至，下周非农报告发布恐受阻

Core Points - The U.S. Labor Department may delay the release of the next non-farm employment report due to a potential government shutdown [1] - The report, originally scheduled for October 3, includes critical data on monthly changes in non-farm employment [1] - The Senate did not pass a temporary budget, risking a government shutdown at the end of the fiscal year on September 30 [1] Group 1 - If the government shuts down, all data collection and scheduled releases by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will cease, affecting approximately 2,000 employees who will be furloughed [1] - The BLS is currently led by acting director William Wiatrowski until a new director is confirmed by the Senate [1] - The March plan indicates that the BLS website will not be updated during the shutdown, and any technical issues will not be addressed, potentially impacting the quality of future statistical estimates [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's decision-makers are closely monitoring labor market data, as they recently decided to lower interest rates for the first time in 2025 due to signs of a cooling labor market [2] - Without the employment report, officials will rely on private sector data, which may not be as comprehensive as government statistics [2] - The delay in the employment report could also affect the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report scheduled for October 15 and disrupt the Social Security Administration's announcements regarding cost-of-living adjustments for retirees [2]