Core Viewpoint - The announcement of a 100% tariff on imported drugs by President Trump is expected to have minimal actual impact due to existing investments by major pharmaceutical companies in U.S. production facilities [1][2]. Group 1: Tariff Announcement and Immediate Market Reaction - President Trump announced a new round of high tariffs on various imported products, including a 100% tariff on patented and branded drugs, effective October 1 [1]. - Following the tariff announcement, Asian stock markets declined, particularly affecting Asian pharmaceutical stocks, while European pharmaceutical stocks remained relatively stable [1]. Group 2: Expected Impact of the Tariff - Analysts believe the new tariff policy will have limited real-world impact, as major pharmaceutical companies have already established significant production capabilities in the U.S. [2][3]. - The policy is seen more as a symbolic gesture aimed at encouraging the pharmaceutical industry to return to the U.S. rather than a serious attempt to disrupt drug imports [2]. Group 3: Investments by Pharmaceutical Companies - Major pharmaceutical companies have committed substantial investments in U.S. production, with AstraZeneca and Roche each pledging $50 billion, GlaxoSmithKline $30 billion, Novartis $23 billion, UCB $2 billion, and Sanofi $20 billion [3]. - Nearly all major pharmaceutical companies have announced large-scale investment plans related to local manufacturing in the U.S. [4]. Group 4: Complexity of the Pharmaceutical Supply Chain - Approximately 90% of U.S. biotechnology companies rely on imported components for at least half of their approved products, highlighting the complexity and interconnectedness of the global pharmaceutical supply chain [4].
新药品关税“雷声大雨点小”? 瑞银:主要药企已在美投资数百亿美元,可获完全豁免