Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the August PCE inflation data met expectations, boosting rate cut expectations and leading to a collective rise in U.S. stocks [1][3][4] - As of September 26, 2023, all three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.65% at 46,247.29 points, the S&P 500 up 0.59% at 6,643.7 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.44% at 22,484.07 points [1][2] - The August PCE price index rose 0.3% month-on-month, higher than July's 0.2% increase, and the core PCE also rose 0.2% month-on-month, consistent with July's revised figure [4] Group 2 - The year-to-date performance of major indices shows the Dow Jones up 8.70%, Nasdaq up 16.43%, and S&P 500 up 12.96% [2] - European stock indices also saw gains, with Germany's DAX up 0.87%, France's CAC40 up 0.97%, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.77% [2] - The market is strongly betting on a 87.7% chance of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October, while the likelihood of a third consecutive cut in December is around 65% [4][5] Group 3 - Concerns about a potential U.S. government shutdown are growing, which could disrupt the release of key economic data and add uncertainty to the market [5] - Precious metals prices rose, with COMEX gold futures up 0.50% at $3,789.8 per ounce and silver futures up 2.77% at $46.365 per ounce [6] - Oil prices experienced slight fluctuations, with WTI crude oil up 0.32% at $65.19 per barrel and Brent crude up 0.23% at $68.74 per barrel [6]
10月降息稳了？美联储，大消息
Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-09-27 01:09