Core Insights - The $18 billion notional expiry of Bitcoin options is considered "record-setting," with potential volatility effects possibly delayed [1] - Historical trends indicate that large expiries may suppress volatility before the cut-off, leading to clearer directional moves in the following 24-72 hours [2] Market Sentiment - Users on Myriad predict that Bitcoin will likely experience more price declines over the weekend, with bearish sentiment slightly outweighing bullish sentiment at 51% to 49% [3] Options Market Dynamics - Options are derivatives that allow traders to buy or sell Bitcoin at a predetermined price, serving as a popular risk-hedging tool [4] - Most crypto options expire on fixed monthly cycles, and large notional expiries can create market volatility as traders adjust their risk [5] Future Outlook - As of now, there is $78.9 billion in open interest in Bitcoin contracts, with over $8 billion set to expire on October 31 on Deribit [6] - The Bitcoin options market shows elevated levels of open interest, particularly in October-dated calls concentrated in the $115,000 to $125,000 range [7] Hedging Implications - Dealers who sold options may need to hedge aggressively if Bitcoin prices rise, potentially leading to exaggerated intraday price swings [8]
$18 Billion in Bitcoin Options Set to Expire—Here’s What to Expect
Yahoo Finance·2025-09-26 19:15