美元或面临走弱趋势 汇率压力有望进一步缓解

Monetary Policy and Market Conditions - The central bank's net injection of liquidity was 124.3 billion yuan on September 19, followed by a net injection of 260.5 billion yuan on September 22, indicating a marginal easing of the funding environment [1] - The central bank continued to implement net withdrawals, with a net withdrawal of 10.9 billion yuan on September 23 and 17 billion yuan on September 24, reflecting a tightening trend in the funding market [1] - The funding rates showed slight increases, with DR001 rising by 1 basis point to 1.47% and DR007 increasing by 9 basis points to 1.60% on September 25 compared to the previous week [1] Economic Indicators and Global Context - The Eurozone's manufacturing PMI for September was reported at 49.5, a three-month low, below the expected 50.7, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector [2] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell highlighted risks to both employment and price stability, suggesting that the labor market is showing signs of weakness and that asset prices may be overvalued compared to historical levels [2] Domestic Economic Outlook - Following the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut of 25 basis points, the Chinese monetary policy may accelerate easing in the fourth quarter, potentially leading to a reduction in bond yields [3] - The National Development Bank ETF (159650) is identified as a viable investment option due to its high credit rating, large scale, and good liquidity, making it suitable for short-duration allocations [3]