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消费健康行业格局迭代,解码华润三九韧性成长的底层逻辑

Core Insights - The consumption health industry is currently experiencing a short-term adjustment due to a complex economic environment and ongoing reforms in procurement and medical insurance payment methods, but the long-term growth logic remains solid [1][2] - The Chinese consumption health market is expected to continue expanding, with significant policy support and increasing consumer demand for OTC drugs and personal care products [1][3] Industry Overview - The Chinese life and health industry grew from 68.3 trillion yuan to 100.3 trillion yuan from 2018 to 2023, with projections to reach 160 trillion yuan by 2030, while the consumption health industry increased from approximately 660.3 billion yuan to about 931.4 billion yuan, with an average annual growth rate of 7% [2] - The adjustment in the Chinese medicine sector has led to increased performance disparities among companies, with leading firms benefiting from brand and channel advantages while smaller firms face profit declines [2][5] Policy and Demand Drivers - The government's emphasis on building a hierarchical medical system and promoting self-care is expected to stimulate market demand for OTC products [1][3] - Consumer health awareness is rising, driven by an aging population and the emergence of younger consumers, leading to increased spending on healthcare [3] Company Performance and Strategies - Leading companies like China Resources Sanjiu are demonstrating resilience during the industry adjustment, with reported revenue growth despite challenges [5][6] - China Resources Sanjiu's CHC (Consumer Health Care) business is a core strength that helps it navigate industry fluctuations, supported by a strong brand portfolio [6][8] Market Trends and Innovations - The integration of "Internet + healthcare" is driving digital sales channel upgrades, with online pharmacy sales reaching 66.3 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 45.5% from 2018 to 2023 [3][7] - The industry is shifting towards a competitive landscape that emphasizes a combination of products and services, moving beyond simple product competition [5][8] Future Outlook - The industry is entering a deep reshuffling phase, with leading firms expected to maintain steady growth through brand barriers, channel advantages, and innovation [2][8] - China Resources Sanjiu is increasing its R&D investment, with a reported 68.99% year-on-year increase, and has numerous projects in the pipeline to support future growth [8][9]