中秋国庆假期全社会跨区域人员流动量预计将超23亿人次

Core Insights - The total cross-regional personnel flow during the Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays is expected to exceed 2.36 billion trips, averaging approximately 295 million trips per day, representing a 3.2% increase compared to the same period last year [1] Group 1: Travel Trends - Self-driving remains the primary mode of travel, with an estimated 1.87 billion trips, accounting for about 80% of total travel volume. Peak traffic on highways may exceed 70 million vehicles per day, with around 14 million being new energy vehicles [1] - The first peak in travel is anticipated on October 1, with single-day passenger flow potentially surpassing 340 million, marking a historical peak. A second peak is expected after the Mid-Autumn Festival on the 7th and 8th [2] Group 2: Long-Distance Travel - There will be a significant increase in medium to long-distance travel, particularly in key urban clusters such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area, and Chengdu-Chongqing. Increased vehicle flow may lead to traffic accidents and congestion [2] - Domestic tourism is expected to surge in popular cities like Shanghai, Chengdu, Beijing, Guangzhou, Xi'an, Hangzhou, Nanjing, and Chongqing, surpassing last year's highs. International travel, especially to Japan, South Korea, and Southeast Asia, is also projected to rise significantly due to visa-free policies [2] Group 3: Freight Transport - Freight transport is expected to remain stable during the holiday, with an average daily truck flow of 5.5 to 5.8 million vehicles, consistent with last year but down about 30% compared to regular days. Demand for key materials such as energy, food, and minerals is expected to remain stable, with minimal fluctuations in rail, port, and air cargo transport [2]