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美国突发,关键数据或延迟发布
Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-09-28 05:33

Core Points - The U.S. federal government is facing a shutdown crisis as funding is set to run out at midnight on September 30, which could lead to the suspension of operations for several government agencies and unpaid leave for hundreds of thousands of federal employees [1][3] - The potential government shutdown may delay the release of key economic reports, including the September employment report originally scheduled for October 3 and the inflation report set for October 15, impacting the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on October 28-29 [1][4] Group 1: Government Shutdown Details - The Senate recently rejected a temporary funding bill passed by the House, increasing the risk of a government shutdown due to depleted funds [3] - The Labor Department's emergency plan indicates that if a shutdown occurs, data collection and scheduled releases will cease, affecting the quality of economic data [4] - The White House has instructed federal agencies to prepare layoff plans for a potential shutdown, marking a departure from previous practices of temporary furloughs [4] Group 2: Economic Impact - A prolonged shutdown and delay in the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data could hinder the Federal Reserve's ability to make informed decisions regarding interest rates, as they would have to rely on less comprehensive private data [4] - The last significant government shutdown from December 2018 to January 2019 resulted in an estimated economic loss of approximately $11 billion, with GDP impacts of 0.1% in Q4 2018 and 0.2% in Q1 2019 [7]