新股前瞻|两年营收增百倍，光热发电龙头可胜技术能否保持高增长？

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the significant advancements and market position of Kesheng Technology in the concentrated solar power (CSP) sector, particularly through its successful projects and upcoming IPO, amidst a rapidly growing industry driven by favorable policies and technological improvements [1][2][5]. Company Overview - Kesheng Technology has established itself as a leader in the CSP industry, with a total design capacity of 1,250 MW, capturing a market share of 47.2% [2][15]. - The company is the only global supplier with a cumulative service performance exceeding 1 GW in molten salt tower CSP systems [2]. - Kesheng Technology's projects include the Qinghai Zhongkong Delingha 50 MW CSP project, which has achieved an annual power generation of 146 million kWh, enough to power over 80,000 households [1]. Industry Growth - The CSP sector in China is experiencing rapid growth, with 26 projects having commenced construction from 2021 to 2024, and Kesheng Technology being involved in 11 of these projects [2][6]. - The market for CSP in China is projected to grow significantly, with the cumulative installed capacity expected to reach 17,713 MW by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 52.6% from 2025 to 2030 [8][12]. - The revenue of the CSP market is anticipated to increase from 1.9 billion RMB in 2022 to 16 billion RMB by 2024, with a CAGR of 102.7% [12]. Technological Advantages - Tower CSP technology has become the mainstream in China's CSP market since 2016, accounting for 83.7% of projects from 2022 to 2024 due to its superior heat storage capacity and lower generation costs [3][5]. - The cost of electricity generated by CSP with molten salt storage is becoming increasingly competitive, with costs projected to drop below those of photovoltaic and other storage systems as technology advances [8][9]. Financial Performance - Kesheng Technology's revenue is projected to grow from 20.85 million RMB in 2022 to 2.189 billion RMB in 2024, with net profits turning from a loss of 91.25 million RMB in 2022 to a profit of 540 million RMB in 2024 [6][7]. - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 980.94 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.54% [6]. Market Position and Competition - Kesheng Technology holds a significant lead over competitors, with a design capacity of 1,250 MW compared to the second and third competitors, each at 400 MW [16]. - However, the company faces potential risks from reliance on government policies and fluctuations in raw material prices, which could impact profitability [16][17].