NCIC(SZ:002246) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-28 10:37Core Insights - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2023, with revenue reaching 1.131 billion yuan, net profit attributable to shareholders at 107 million yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items at 82 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year increases of 23.82%, 207.91%, and 1624.92% respectively [1] Industry Overview - The domestic nitrocellulose market has experienced a supply contraction of 46%, primarily due to production halts from accidents and the company's decision to shut down its Xi'an production line, reducing its annual capacity from 55,000 tons in 2023 to 30,000 tons in 2024 [1] - The industry has faced significant capacity reductions, with major incidents such as the explosion at Xuefei Chemical affecting 20,000 tons of capacity and another incident at Hengshui Jianmin impacting 6,000 tons [1] Market Dynamics - Geopolitical factors have increased demand for nitrocellulose, leading to a historical high in export prices, with August 2023 seeing an export price of 42,000 yuan per ton, a year-on-year increase of 37.76% [2] - The company holds a prominent position in the global nitrocellulose market, with over 50% market share domestically and approximately 15% internationally, benefiting from the current price increases [2] Future Prospects - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for environmentally friendly fireworks made from nitrocellulose, which produce less smoke and pollutants compared to traditional fireworks [3] - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are optimistic, with expected revenues of 2.602 billion, 3.333 billion, and 4.326 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 34%, 28%, and 30% respectively [3] - The company is expected to achieve significant profit growth, with net profits projected at 259 million, 411 million, and 553 million yuan for the same period, indicating year-on-year increases of 1016%, 59%, and 35% respectively [3]