付鹏：谷子经济存泡沫风险，LABUBU投资价值在IP持久性

Core Insights - The forum "Phoenix Bay Area Finance Forum 2025" held in Guangzhou focused on the theme "New Pattern, New Path" and gathered global elites from politics, business, and academia to explore development opportunities amidst changing circumstances [1] Group 1: Investment Opportunities - The upstream sector of artificial intelligence has demonstrated clear profit models and is considered a viable investment track that has already shown results [1] - The "Guzi Economy," particularly in the潮玩 IP industry, has a straightforward profit model but carries potential bubble risks [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - A "futures-spot linkage" model was used to explain the relationship between stock prices of related companies and the physical潮玩 products, indicating that enthusiasm in the spot market can drive stock prices up, but a bubble burst in the spot market could lead to significant stock price declines [1] Group 3: User Engagement and Longevity - The core challenge and investment value of the IP economy lie in the durability of user engagement, with a reference to Sanrio's Hello Kitty as an example of an IP that has sustained long-term value over decades [1] - There is hope for the continued development of Chinese IP, but its ability to maintain longevity over decades remains to be seen [1]