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恩格尔系数稳定降至30%以下,第三产业就业人员占比近半专家解读:最新社会民生统计报告有何深意?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-09-28 15:07

Core Insights - The report released by the National Bureau of Statistics indicates an optimization and upgrading of China's consumption structure, with the Engel coefficient decreasing from 30.2% in 2020 to 29.8% in 2024, reflecting a shift from survival-type to development-type consumption [1][2][6] - The average annual growth rate of development-type consumption expenditures, including education, culture, entertainment, transportation, communication, and healthcare, is projected to be 10.0% from 2021 to 2024, while service consumption expenditures are expected to grow at an average annual rate of 9.5%, outpacing goods consumption by 3.8 percentage points [1][6] Economic Growth Implications - The optimization of consumption structure is expected to enhance economic stability by smoothing economic fluctuations and expanding growth space, particularly in the service and development consumption sectors [6][8] - The proportion of employment in the tertiary industry is projected to increase, with 35.866 million people employed in this sector by the end of 2024, representing 48.8% of total employment, an increase of 1.1 percentage points from 2020 [3][6] Income Distribution and Growth - By the end of 2024, the national per capita disposable income is expected to reach 41,314 yuan, an increase of 9,125 yuan from 2020, with an average annual real growth rate of 5.5% from 2021 to 2024 [9][11] - Rural residents' per capita disposable income is projected to grow at a faster rate than urban residents, with a real growth rate of 6.9% compared to 4.5% for urban residents [9][11] Consumption Trends - The report highlights a significant increase in consumption expenditures among rural residents, particularly in poverty alleviation counties, where per capita disposable income is expected to rise from 12,588 yuan in 2020 to 17,522 yuan in 2024, with an average annual real growth rate of 7.8% [11][12] - The consumption structure in these areas is also evolving, with per capita consumption expenditures expected to increase from 10,758 yuan in 2020 to 15,138 yuan in 2024, reflecting a shift towards development-type consumption [12] Employee Benefits and Pension Growth - By the end of 2024, the number of employees participating in enterprise annuities is projected to reach 32.42 million, with the accumulated fund scale expected to grow to 36,422 billion yuan, marking increases of 19.3% and 61.9% respectively since 2020 [12][14]