今年“双节”出行或再现历史峰值

Group 1: Travel Demand Forecast - The upcoming 8-day holiday is expected to see a significant increase in travel demand, with an estimated 2.36 billion trips, averaging about 295 million trips per day, representing a 3.2% increase compared to the same period last year [1] - Domestic tourism is projected to be strong, with popular cities like Shanghai, Chengdu, Beijing, Guangzhou, Xi'an, Hangzhou, Nanjing, and Chongqing expected to exceed last year's tourism levels [1] - Outbound travel is also anticipated to rise significantly, particularly to Japan, South Korea, and Southeast Asian countries [1] Group 2: Transportation Modes - Self-driving is expected to be the primary mode of travel, with an estimated 1.87 billion trips, accounting for about 80% of total travel [1] - The peak travel day is predicted to be October 1, with a potential single-day passenger flow exceeding 340 million, marking a historical peak [1] - The railway sector anticipates over 219 million passengers during the holiday, with an average of 13,000 trains operating daily, sending approximately 18.25 million passengers each day [2] Group 3: Aviation Sector Insights - The civil aviation market is expected to reach 19.2 million passengers during the holiday, a 3.6% increase from last year, setting a record for the same period [3] - The last two days of the holiday are expected to see the highest passenger flow, potentially reaching or exceeding the historical peak of 2.56 million passengers in a single day [3] - Major air travel routes between key urban areas like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Chengdu, and others are expected to see significant passenger volume, with total throughput exceeding 17 million passengers [3] Group 4: Express Delivery Trends - As of September 27, the total number of express packages collected this year reached 143.27 billion, with an average of over 530 million packages per day [4] - The collection volume has notably increased in September, averaging 557 million packages daily, with peak days exceeding 600 million packages [4]