Core Viewpoint - The lithium extraction capacity from salt lakes, particularly in Tibet, is expected to see significant growth due to advancements in technology and increased investment from leading companies in the industry [1][8]. Capacity Expansion - Cangge Mining's 50,000 tons/year lithium carbonate project at the Mami Cuo salt lake has commenced construction after receiving project approval in June 2023, with full production expected by 2026 [1]. - Cangge Mining has also acquired a 39% stake in Guoneng Mining, which has two high-quality salt lakes in Tibet, with a long-term plan to reach a lithium salt capacity of 130,000 tons [1]. - Zijin Mining's Lagocuo salt lake project has faced delays but is showing signs of accelerated production, with a projected output of 7,315 tons of lithium carbonate in the first half of 2025, compared to 239 tons in the same period of 2024 [2]. - Blue Sky Technology is actively involved in domestic salt lake capacity construction, including a collaboration with Guoneng Mining for a 3,300 tons lithium hydroxide production line, which aims to be the first industrialized salt lake lithium extraction project in Tibet [2]. Technological Innovation - The lithium extraction process is undergoing systematic innovation, with direct lithium extraction technologies significantly reducing production time and resource consumption [3]. - The use of advanced techniques such as membrane coupling and adsorption technology is expected to enhance resource utilization and lower production costs [3][4]. - The cost of adsorption agents has decreased from 200,000 yuan/ton to 45,000 yuan/ton, contributing to improved industrial competitiveness [4]. Industry Challenges - Despite the potential, the industry faces challenges such as low capacity utilization due to environmental factors and infrastructure difficulties in high-altitude regions [5][6]. - Projects in Tibet, including those by Zijin Mining and Jinyuan Co., have experienced slow production releases due to high-altitude conditions affecting equipment and operational efficiency [6][7]. - Water supply and power supply issues are significant hurdles, with companies needing to invest in desalination and renewable energy projects to ensure production continuity [7]. Market Outlook - The salt lake lithium extraction industry is becoming a crucial component in reducing China's reliance on imported lithium carbonate, with ongoing capital investments and policy support driving growth [8][9]. - In 2024, China's lithium carbonate production is projected to reach 702,000 tons, with salt lake extraction accounting for approximately 17.7%, a decrease from 28.6% in 2020 [9]. - The cost advantage of salt lake lithium extraction, estimated at 30,000 to 40,000 yuan/ton, is expected to encourage further investments and development in the sector [9].
盐湖提锂产能密集落地锂资源自主化进程加速