Wall Street Brunch: Jobs, Shutdown And A Fed Cartoon

Economic Outlook - Economists expect September payrolls to rise by just 39,000, with the unemployment rate remaining steady at 3.9% and average hourly earnings increasing by 0.3% [4] - Job growth has significantly slowed, averaging only 29,000 in the three months through August, while the unemployment rate has risen to 4.3% in August, the highest in nearly four years [5] - The weak jobs market was a key reason for the Fed's recent rate cut, but inflation remains a concern with the core PCE price index at an annual rate of 2.9%, above the 2% target [5] Federal Reserve and Political Dynamics - The odds of two Fed rate cuts this year have decreased to 65% from about 80% as longer-term Treasury yields rose, reflecting Powell's reluctance to ease rates further [6] - President Trump has indicated intentions to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, raising concerns about central bank independence, as no president has previously removed a Fed governor [7] - A brief filed with the Supreme Court argues against Cook's removal and supports Fed independence, signed by notable former Fed Chairs and Treasury Secretaries [8] Government Shutdown Implications - A potential government shutdown could impact the release of economic data, with a shutdown expected to begin if Congress fails to reach an agreement [9] - Trump has agreed to meet with congressional leaders to discuss funding, with the odds of a shutdown fluctuating between 64% and 83% in prediction markets [10] Corporate Earnings Reports - Nike (NKE) is set to report earnings on Tuesday, with expectations of EPS at $0.27 on revenue of $10.99 billion, focusing on China sales and inventory management [11] - Other companies reporting include Carnival (CCL), Jefferies Financial (JEF), Paychex (PAYX), and Lamb Weston (LW) [11] Mergers and Acquisitions - Electronic Arts (EA) stock surged nearly 15% after reports of a group of investors, including Silver Lake and Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund, looking to take the company private, potentially valuing EA at $50 billion [12][13] - The largest leveraged buyout in history could be in play, surpassing previous top deals [13] Corporate Spin-offs - Versant Media Group has filed for a Nasdaq listing as it spins off from Comcast (CMCSA), holding assets from various cable networks and digital platforms [14] - The new entity will maintain a dual-class stock structure, with Class A shares controlling two-thirds of voting power [15] Analyst Coverage Changes - Wedbush has dropped coverage of GameStop (GME), leaving the stock without a Wall Street rating, with a previous target price of $13.50, nearly 50% below current levels [16][17] - GameStop's stock performance has been challenging for traditional analysis, focusing on cash reserves and crypto investments rather than fundamentals [18]