有色金属迎重磅政策利好！八部门联合部署，有色金属稳增长工作！细分方向投资机遇怎么看？

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and eight other departments have issued a plan for the non-ferrous metals industry, targeting an average annual growth of around 5% in value-added and approximately 1.5% in the production of ten non-ferrous metals from 2025 to 2026, with a significant focus on domestic resource development and recycling [1] Group 1: Industry Growth and Policy Impact - The non-ferrous metals industry is expected to see a positive impact from the deep implementation of the "anti-involution" policy, which is changing the supply-demand dynamics in the sector [1] - The "anti-involution" policy is not just a supply-side measure but also a strong demand-side policy, which is anticipated to enhance domestic production factor prices and retain more surplus value within the country [1] - The current timing is favorable for implementing "anti-involution" measures, as excess capacity and price declines are nearing an end [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities in Non-Ferrous Metals - The focus on copper and aluminum is highlighted, with expectations of steady demand growth for these industrial metals, particularly as the market transitions from supply constraints to demand recovery [2] - Precious metals like gold are expected to benefit from anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, which will likely drive up gold prices due to their relationship with real interest rates [2] - Small metals such as tungsten, rare earths, and tin are also seen as promising, driven by geopolitical factors, industry consolidation, and the rise of AI and electronic devices [2] Group 3: Market Dynamics and ETF Insights - Different non-ferrous metals exhibit varying degrees of market conditions and drivers, suggesting a diversified investment approach could be beneficial [3] - The non-ferrous metals sector's leading ETF, which tracks the China Nonferrous Metals Index, includes significant weights in copper (25.3%), aluminum (14.2%), rare earths (13.8%), gold (13.6%), and lithium (7.6%), providing a risk-diversified investment option [3]