Nvidia Received a Rare Price Target Cut From a Wall Street Analyst -- but the Reasoning Behind the Cut Misses the Biggest Threat Facing This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Darling

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the competitive landscape surrounding Nvidia, highlighting the potential threats to its dominance in the AI-GPU market, particularly from custom chips and internal developments by major customers [1][9][18]. Group 1: Nvidia's Competitive Advantage - Nvidia has established itself as a leader in the AI-GPU market, with its products being essential for AI decision-making and large language model training [3][5]. - The company's CUDA software platform enhances its hardware's capabilities, fostering customer loyalty and creating a robust ecosystem [5][6]. - Despite strong performance and positive analyst ratings, Nvidia faces increasing competition that could impact its growth potential [7][8]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Competition - Citigroup analyst Atif Malik recently lowered Nvidia's price target by $10 per share, citing rising competition from custom chips as a significant concern [8][9]. - Broadcom's introduction of custom accelerating chips, with a projected 53% growth in 2026, poses a direct challenge to Nvidia's market share [10][11]. - The supply-demand imbalance for AI-GPUs has allowed Nvidia to command high prices, but this could change if major customers develop their own solutions [15][16]. Group 3: Internal Threats to Nvidia - The greatest threat to Nvidia's competitive edge may come from its top customers, who are developing their own AI-GPUs, potentially reducing Nvidia's market presence [16][17]. - If these customers begin using their internally developed chips, it could diminish Nvidia's pricing power and gross margins [17][18]. - The shift towards internal chip development may also delay upgrade cycles for Nvidia's products, impacting future sales [17].