贵金属强势延续 白银领涨创历史新高

Core Viewpoint - The recent U.S. inflation data met expectations, strengthening market bets on potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this year, leading to significant increases in precious metal prices, particularly gold and silver [1][2]. Market Review - On the last Friday, spot gold saw a substantial rise, reaching above $3780 during intraday trading but ultimately closed up 0.31% at $3760.53 per ounce, marking a six-week consecutive increase [2]. - Spot silver also surged, breaking above $46 and hitting a 14-year high, closing up 1.98% at $46.06 per ounce, similarly recording six consecutive weeks of gains [2]. Key News Summary - U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) have increased for the third consecutive month, with the core PCE price index remaining at a stubborn year-on-year increase of 2.9%, which is a key inflation indicator for the Federal Reserve [3]. - The consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan has dropped to a four-month low, indicating rising concerns over income [3]. - The precious metals market has continued its strong upward trend, with both gold and silver futures reaching historical highs, particularly silver, which has shown stronger momentum [3]. - As of September 26, the COMEX silver futures have surpassed the $46 mark, driven by market sentiment following anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3]. - Economic data indicates a significant upward revision of the U.S. second-quarter GDP growth rate to 3.8%, up from a previous estimate of 3.3%, with consumer spending growth also revised upward [3]. - Despite the strong economic data supporting a rebound in the dollar, silver continues to reach new highs, suggesting a robust trend [3]. - Short-term expectations indicate silver may challenge the historical high of $50, with a forecast for increased volatility in the market [3]. - Mid-term target prices are set at $4000 for COMEX gold and $50 for COMEX silver [3].