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具身AI开启4020亿美元市场机遇!瑞银详解“Beyond AI”投资策略
智通财经网·2025-09-29 08:28

Core Insights - UBS reports that artificial intelligence (AI) is driving significant advancements in autonomous systems, including humanoid robots, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), and robotaxis, transforming traditional industries such as aerospace, agriculture, smart glasses, and healthcare [1][17] - The emergence of visual-language-action (VLA) models represents a transformative turning point for robots and ADAS, enabling systems to convert sensory inputs and natural language commands directly into actions [1][17] Market Opportunities - UBS estimates that market opportunities driven by embodied AI verticals will reach $402 billion, with the highest growth potential in humanoid robots, ADAS, robotaxis, industrial automation, agricultural technology, smart glasses, robotic surgery, and drones [2][19] - The total addressable market (TAM) for humanoid robots is projected to reach $40 billion by 2035, while the TAM for automation hardware is expected to hit $100 billion, and ADAS (including fully autonomous driving) is forecasted to reach $88 billion [2][6] Growth Projections - The global TAM for robot taxis is estimated at $40 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11% over the next decade [2] - The agricultural technology, robotic surgery, electric vertical takeoff and landing (EVTOL), and smart glasses sectors are expected to grow at a CAGR of 23%, reaching a TAM of $134 billion by 2035 [2] Technological Advancements - AI advancements are catalyzing the development of autonomous systems, with significant breakthroughs in processing power and AI capabilities [5] - The integration of electrification is driving the revenue pool for private car ADAS, projected to reach $88 billion by 2035, primarily fueled by China's 50% penetration rate of electric vehicles [6] Humanoid Robots - By 2035, the number of humanoid robots is expected to exceed 2 million units, with a corresponding TAM of $40 billion, and by 2050, this could grow to over 300 million units, with a TAM of $1.4 to $1.7 trillion [7] - Humanoid robots are anticipated to operate independently and will be utilized in various sectors, including manufacturing, logistics, and healthcare [7] Supply Chain Dynamics - The supply chain for autonomous systems is characterized by overlapping hardware and software dependencies, necessitating a regulatory framework to maximize commercialization [5][8] - The demand for high-performance chips, power management chips, motion control chips, and communication ICs is expected to rise due to the application of VLA technology in ADAS and humanoid robots [8][9] Semiconductor Opportunities - The semiconductor industry is poised to benefit significantly from the computational demands of humanoid robots, with each high-end humanoid robot requiring approximately $1,400 worth of semiconductors [9] Smart Glasses Market - The smart glasses market is expected to enter a new phase by 2025, with an estimated market size of $1 billion, projected to grow to $60 billion by 2035, driven by technological maturity and increased consumer interest [12] Agricultural Innovations - AI and autonomous machinery are essential for increasing agricultural productivity, with the need to boost food production by 60% by 2050 to meet global demand [13] Robotic Surgery Advancements - The use of robotic surgery is expanding across various medical fields, with a projected shipment of 6,200 new medical robots in 2024, reflecting a 36% year-on-year growth [14]