Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-09-29 09:19Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a strong rebound, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 26,622.88 points, up 494.86 points, a rise of 1.89% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index surged by 129.14 points, closing at 6,324.25 points, reflecting a gain of 2.08% [1] Fund Flow - Despite the strong performance of the Hong Kong stocks, southbound funds showed a cautious attitude, with a net sell of over 1.6 billion HKD by the close [3] - In the previous week, southbound funds had a net buy of approximately 44 billion HKD in Hong Kong stocks [3] - Analysts suggest that the net selling may be related to the upcoming National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, as the A-shares will be closed for 8 days, leading to a temporary exit of some southbound funds [3] Sector Performance - Chinese brokerage stocks saw significant gains, with Huatai Securities (06886.HK), GF Securities (01776.HK), and Shenwan Hongyuan Hong Kong (00218.HK) rising over 12% [5] - Other notable performers included CITIC Securities (06030.HK) and Dongfang Securities (03958.HK), both up over 11% [5] - Tech stocks also performed well, with Alibaba-W (09988.HK) and Kuaishou-W (01024.HK) rising over 4%, and JD Group (09618.HK) increasing over 3% [7] - Gold stocks and lithium battery stocks also saw gains, with Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) up over 6% and CATL (03750.HK) up over 3% [7] Market Outlook - Huatai Securities noted a historical pattern in the Hong Kong market, indicating a "pre-holiday defense, mid-holiday rally, and post-holiday switch" effect [8] - Despite the closure of the southbound trading, internal factors are expected to remain more significant than external ones, with investor focus on domestic consumption data and fourth-quarter policy strength [9] - Historical data suggests a high success rate for "holding stocks over the holiday," with recommendations to maintain allocations in growth and consumer sectors before the holiday and shift to defensive positions afterward [9]