Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the current AI-driven technology cycle is attracting incremental capital into Hong Kong's tech assets, which are fundamentally stronger and more scarce [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index is expected to rise further, with a potential upside of about 15% if leading tech stocks recover from undervaluation [1] - The top ten constituents of the Hang Seng Tech Index account for approximately 70% of its weight, indicating that progress in AI by leading internet companies could significantly boost the overall index valuation [1] Group 2 - If the Hang Seng Tech Index valuation recovers to its historical average, the potential upside could exceed 30% [1] - Compared to the A-share market, the ChiNext Index and STAR 50 have outperformed the Hang Seng Tech Index since June, with a faster rate of valuation increase [1] - Should the Hang Seng Tech Index valuation align with the average valuation of the A-share ChiNext Index (around 42 times), the potential increase could be approximately 80% [1] Group 3 - Relevant ETFs include the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF, which offers a balanced exposure to the Hong Kong tech sector, focusing on AI, chips, and new energy vehicles [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Tech ETF is highly concentrated on leading companies, with Tencent, Alibaba, and Xiaomi accounting for over 44% of its weight [2]
国泰海通:恒生科技估值不高,上行空间较大