Texas Capital Bancshares(US:TCBI) ZACKSยท2025-09-29 15:16Core Insights - Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) has seen a 15.8% increase in share price over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 9% and its peers BOK Financial Corporation (8.4%) and Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. (3.0%) [1] Key Factors Driving Growth - The Federal Reserve's recent rate cuts are expected to support net interest income (NII) growth for TCBI, with a 13.4% year-over-year increase in NII in the first half of 2025, driven by higher average earning assets and lower funding costs [6][7] - TCBI's strategic expansion includes a $400 million acquisition in the healthcare sector and enhancements in investment banking capabilities, which are anticipated to contribute to future earnings and reduce non-interest expenses [8][11] - The company's loan portfolio has grown at a CAGR of 4% from 2021 to 2024, with total average loans increasing by 6.9% sequentially to $23.6 billion as of June 30, 2025, supported by a focus on middle-market clients and high-net-worth individuals [12] Financial Position - TCBI maintains strong liquidity with $2.69 billion in liquid assets and manageable debt levels of $1.87 billion as of June 30, 2025 [13] - The total capital ratio stands at 15.3% and the common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio at 11.4%, both above regulatory requirements, with expectations for CET1 to increase by over 11% by the end of 2025 [14] - A share repurchase program of up to $200 million has been authorized, with approximately $148 million remaining as of June 30, 2025, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder value [17] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has been revised upward, indicating expected growth of 39.3% for 2025 and 11.8% for 2026 [25][28] - TCBI shares are currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.9X, below the industry average of 13.37X, suggesting potential for healthy long-term returns [21][24]