Markets likely to steadily broaden out in 2026, says Piper Sandler's Kantrowitz
Youtube·2025-09-29 17:41

Core Viewpoint - The market is at a significant cyclical turning point, with expectations of broadening participation rather than a booming market, indicating a potential shift in earnings growth across various sectors [1][2]. Economic Indicators - The macroeconomic environment has shown signs of improvement, with housing and manufacturing data indicating a potential upward trend after a prolonged period of stagnation [3][4]. - Interest rates have stabilized and begun to drift down, which is expected to positively influence anticipatory economic indicators [6][5]. Market Dynamics - The concept of a broadening market suggests an inclusion of various sectors rather than a mere rotation out of technology, with large-cap growth remaining significant [7][8]. - The current labor market conditions have alleviated inflation fears, contributing to a favorable environment for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [8][10]. Historical Context - The current economic backdrop resembles a "Goldilocks" scenario, where both the unemployment rate and stock market have been rising together, a rare occurrence in historical terms [11]. Investor Sentiment - There is a diminishing impact of market fears, with investors becoming more resilient to uncertainties such as tariffs, indicating a shift in market behavior towards a more reactive stance [12][13].