普遍看好节后行情 逾六成私募选择重仓过节

Group 1 - Over 65% of private equity funds prefer to hold heavy positions or fully invested during the holiday, indicating a positive outlook for the market post-holiday [3][4] - The overall private equity position index reached a new high for the year at 78.41%, reflecting a trend of increasing positions before the holiday [4][5] - The optimism is supported by recent market rebounds, favorable policy environments, and the emergence of structural opportunities in sectors like AI and semiconductors [4][6] Group 2 - 70.19% of private equity funds are optimistic about the market's performance after the holiday, expecting a gradual recovery driven by policy and capital [5][6] - A balanced market style is anticipated post-holiday, with 62.50% of private equity funds expecting a rotation among technology growth, value blue chips, and white horse stocks [5][6] - The focus on technology growth is strong, with 59.62% of private equity funds favoring sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and innovative pharmaceuticals [6][7] Group 3 - The market is expected to maintain a "slow bull" pattern, with structural opportunities remaining the primary focus as the economy has not yet shown signs of a turning point [7][8] - The dynamic balance between growth and value styles is highlighted, with technology sectors attracting leveraged funds while value sectors like banks provide stability [8][9] - Historical data shows that A-share market has a more than 70% probability of rising after the National Day holiday, suggesting potential liquidity support for the fourth quarter [8][9]